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Home » South Africa Table Grape Industry Forecasts Record 2026 Season: 82–83 Million Cartons Expected Despite US 30% Tariff
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South Africa Table Grape Industry Forecasts Record 2026 Season: 82–83 Million Cartons Expected Despite US 30% Tariff

newsnote correspondentBy newsnote correspondent21 hours agoNo Comments11 Views
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South Africa’s table grape and raisin industry is preparing for one of its strongest seasons on record in 2026, with export volumes projected to reach 82–83 million cartons thanks to excellent growing conditions, widespread adoption of high-yielding new varieties, and robust early-season progress in the Orange River Valley.

Gabriël Viljoen, Chairperson of the Orange River Producers’ Association, emphasised the pivotal role of the Orange River region — South Africa’s premier early-season production area — which is expected to account for a commanding 85% of the national table grape crop this year.

The optimism is largely driven by the superior performance of newer cultivars planted in recent years. These varieties are delivering markedly improved yields, enabling producers to forecast an additional 2–3 million boxes (4.5 kg equivalent) compared with recent seasons.

Despite the buoyant domestic outlook, significant challenges remain in the crucial United States market. A 30% tariff on South African table grapes, introduced in 2025 and still in force, continues to squeeze margins and threaten competitiveness.

In a pragmatic and collaborative solution, South African producers have agreed to share the tariff burden equally with their American importers. Each party will absorb 15% of the duty, preserving market access and keeping the valuable US channel open.

“We’ve met with our buyers and agreed to split it: they will pay 15%, and the producers will cover the other 15%, simply to keep the door open and ensure the fruit continues to flow to the USA.”

This united approach highlights the resilience and strategic thinking of the South African table grape industry as it positions itself to capitalise on ideal growing conditions and varietal innovation while safeguarding key export markets.

Industry stakeholders are watching closely to see whether this record-setting season can translate into stronger returns for growers and sustained supply for global consumers in 2026.

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